Bowyer wins crash-filled Nationwide race at Daytona

Autoracing Betting Lines

07/03/2009 - Daytona Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Clint Bowyer held off Kyle Busch and Carl Edwards in a green-white-checkered finish to win Friday's Subway Jalapeno 250 and record his first victory at Daytona International Speedway.

Bowyer, the 2008 series champion, ran in front when a four-car accident occurred just before the leaders crossed the line for the final lap of the two-lap overtime finish. The Richard Childress Racing driver had the dominant car, as he started on the pole and led a race-high 48 laps.

"I can't begin to tell you what this place means to me, my family, everything you ever worked for to come to Daytona, let alone win a race here," Bowyer said. "This is the best place to come see a race, and people got their money worth tonight."

Bowyer led the way on the final restart and got a big push from Busch to help him fend off a challenge from Edwards on the second to last lap.

"Kyle gave me a good push there at the end, and luckily the caution came out, because who knows what would have happened on that last lap," Bowyer added.

Last year, Bowyer won the spring race at Bristol for his only victory during his championship season. The Richard Childress Racing driver is running a limited schedule in the series this year.

Busch moved ahead of Edwards just before the race-ending caution to take second. He increased his lead to 172 points over Edwards, who came in third.

"We're proud of that second-place effort, that was the best we had," Busch said. "Clint's car was better than ours today."

Joey Logano and Kasey Kahne rounded out the top-five.

Brad Keselowski, Brian Vickers, Justin Allgaier, David Ragan and Kevin Harvick finished sixth through 10th, respectively.

Kertus Davis was among several drivers who crashed in the closing laps, which set up the overtime finish. Davis' car erupted into flames while he tried to nurse it back to the pits after the incident. He quickly exited the car and suffered no injuries.

Kerry Earnhardt's car also engulfed in fire and smoke after he was involved in an incident with Chase Austin in the late-stages. Earnhardt was not hurt, but did suffer smoke inhalation.

"I hit (Jeff Green) and (Austin) both and then hit the wall and had a little bit of a fire, so I had a little inhalation of the fire and fumes," Earnhardt said.

Earlier in the race, Earnhardt and Donnie Neuenberger crashed after making contact on lap 10, forcing the first caution and then setting up a double-file restart. One month after the Sprint Cup Series began using the double-file restarts throughout each race, NASCAR instituted the new restart format for its second-tier division, beginning at Daytona.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.